Publications
This page hosts publications from previous and current group members during the time period of 2019 to present day. Underlined names indicate group members or current/former graduate students. For publications prior to 2019 see Google Scholar.
2024
Arcodia, M. C., E. Becker, and B. P. Kirtman, 2024: Subseasonal Variability of U.S. Coastal Sea Level from MJO and ENSO Teleconnection Interference. Wea. Forecasting, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0002.1, in press.
Laurindo, L. C., Siqueira, L, Small, R. J., Thompson, L., & Kirtman, B. P. (2024). Quantifying the contribution of ocean advection and surface flux to the upper-ocean salinity variability resolved by climate model simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL106354. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106354.
Siqueira, L., B. P. Kirtman, L. C. Laurindo, J. T. Fasullo, and A. Hu, 2024: Quantifying the Role of Ocean Dynamics in SST Variability across GCMs and Observations. J. Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0686.1, in press.
Gifford, I., Gangopadhyay, A., Andres, M. et al. Synchronicity of the Gulf Stream path downstream of Cape Hatteras and the region of maximum wind stress curl. Sci Rep 14, 18479 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-68461-0
2023
Kramer, S. J., Huang, S., McClure, C. D., Chaveste, M. R., & Lurmann, F. (2023). Projected smoke impacts from increased prescribed fire activity in California's high wildfire risk landscape. Atmospheric Environment, 119993.
K. A. Besong, B. P. Kirtman. (2023) Sensitivity of the Blocking-North Atlantic Oscillation Relationship to Space, Time, and Index. Climate Dynamics (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06965-7.
Yu Gao, Igor Kamenkovich, and Natalie Perlin, 2023: Origins of mesoscale mixed-layer depth variability in the Southern Ocean. Ocean Science, 19, 615–627, 2023 https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-615-2023
Schneider, E. K., B. P. Kirtman, and N. Perlin, 2023: The Role of Atmospheric Noise in Decadal SST Variability. J. Climate, 36, 2147–2166, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0399.1.
Arcodia, M.C., Kirtman, B.P. Using simplified linear and nonlinear models to assess ENSO-modulated MJO teleconnections. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06864-x
Arcodia, M. C., Barnes, E. A., Mayer, K. J., Lee, J., Ordonez, A., & Ahn, M. S. (2023). Assessing decadal variability of subseasonal forecasts of opportunity using explainable AI. Environmental Research: Climate.
Malloy, K., & Kirtman, B. P. (2023). Subseasonal Great Plains rainfall via remote extratropical teleconnections: Regional application of theory-guided causal networks. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD037795. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037795
Zavadoff, B. L., Gao, K., Lopez, H., Lee, S.-K., Kim, D., & Harris, L. M. (2023). Improved MJO forecasts using the experimental global-nested GFDL SHiELD model. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2022GL101622. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101622
2022
Daniel Perlin and Gecheng Zha, 2022: Numerical Study of Reverse Thrust Generation Using Co-Flow Jet. AIAA SCITECH 2022 Forum. January 3-7, 2022. https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2022-1532.
Laurindo, L. C., Small, R. J., Thompson, L. A., Siqueira, L., Bryan, F. O., Chang, P., et al. (2022). Role of ocean and atmosphere variability in scale-dependent thermodynamic air-sea interactions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, e2021JC018340. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC018340
Gao, Y., Kamenkovich, I., Perlin, N., & Kirtman, B. (2022). Oceanic Advection Controls Mesoscale Mixed Layer Heat Budget and Air–Sea Heat Exchange in the Southern Ocean, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 52(4), 537-555. DOI: 10.1175/JPO-D-21-0063.1.
Light, C.X., Arbic, B.K., Martin, P.E. et al. Effects of grid spacing on high-frequency precipitation variance in coupled high-resolution global ocean–atmosphere models. Clim Dyn 59, 2887–2913 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06257-6 </a>
Malloy, K., Kirtman, B.P. The summer Asia–North America teleconnection and its modulation by ENSO in Community Atmosphere Model, version 5 (CAM5). Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06205-4
Zhang, W., Kirtman, B., Xiang, B., Siqueira, L., Infanti, J., and Perlin N., January 2022: Decadal variability of Southeast US rainfall in an eddying global coupled model. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(1), DOI:10.1029/2021GL096709.
Becker, E. J., B. P. Kirtman, M. L’Heureux, Á. G. Muñoz, and K. Pegion, 2022: A Decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, Application, and Future Directions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E973–E995, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0327.1.
Hammerschlag, N., McDonnell, L. H., Rider, M. J., Street, G. M., Hazen, E. L., Natanson, L. J., McCandless, C. T., Boudreau, M. R., Gallagher, A. J., Pinsky, M. L., & Kirtman, B. (2022). Ocean warming alters the distributional range, migratory timing, and spatial protections of an apex predator, the Tiger Shark (Galeocerdo cuvier). Global Change Biology, 28(6), 1990-2005.
Perlin, D, GeCheng Zha, G.-C., 2022: Numerical Study of Reverse Thrust Generation Using Co-Flow Jet. American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA) SciTech Forum, January 3-7, 2022, San Diego, CA & Virtual.
2021
Zavadoff, B.L, Kirtman, B.P. The Pacific decadal oscillation as a modulator of summertime North Atlantic Rossby wave breaking. Clim Dyn 56, 207–225 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05475-0
Mabel C. Costa, Nobre, P., Oke, P., Schiller, A., Siqueira L. S. P., Castelão, G. P. (2021), The Spectral Diagram as a new tool for model assessment in the frequency domain: Application to a global ocean general circulation model with tides. Computers & Geosciences.
Zhang, W., Kirtman, B. P., Xiang, B., Siqueira, L., Infanti, J., and Perlin N., January 2022: Decadal variability of Southeast US rainfall in an eddying global coupled model. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(1), DOI:10.1029/2021GL096709.
Siqueira, L., Kirtman, B. P., & Laurindo, L. C. (2021). Forecasting Remote Atmospheric Responses to Decadal Kuroshio Stability Transitions, Journal of Climate, 34(1), 379-395.
Zhang, W., Kirtman, B., Siqueira, L. et al. (2021). Understanding the signal-to-noise paradox in decadal climate predictability from CMIP5 and an eddying global coupled model. Clim Dynamics, 56, 2895-2913.
Joh, Y., Di Lorenzo, E., Siqueira, L., and Kirtman, B. (2021). Enhanced interactions of Kuroshio Extension with tropical Pacific in a changing climate. Nature Science Reports, 11, 6247.
2020
Hansen, K. A., Majumdar, S.J., & Kirtman, B. P. (2020). Identifying Subseasonal Variability Relevant to Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity. Weather and Forecasting, 1-64.
Perlin, N., Kamenkovich, I., Gao, Y., & Kirtman, B. P. (2020). A study of mesoscale air-sea interaction in the Southern Ocean with a regional coupled model. Ocean Modelling, 101660.
Infanti, J. M., Kirtman, B. P., Aumen, N. G., Stamm, J., & Polsky, C. (2020) Aligning Climate Models with Stakeholder Needs: Advances in Communicating Future Rainfall Uncertainties for South Florida Decision Makers. Earth and Space Science, e2019EA000725.
Becker, E., Kirtman, B. P., & Pegion, K. (2020). Evolution of the North American Multi‐Model Ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(9), e2020GL087408.
Arcodia, M. C., Kirtman, B. P., & Siqueira, L. S. (2020). How MJO teleconnections and ENSO interference impacts US precipitation. Journal of Climate, 33(11), 4621-4640.
Zavadoff, B. L., & Kirtman, B. P. (2020). Dynamic and Thermodynamic Modulators of European Atmospheric Rivers. Journal of Climate, 33(10), 4167-4185.
Malloy, K. M., & Kirtman, B. P. (2020). Predictability of midsummer Great Plains low-level jet and associated precipitation. Weather and Forecasting, 35(1), 215-235.
Mariotti, A., Baggett, C., Barnes, E. A., Becker, E., Butler, A., Collins, D. C., ... & Kirtman, B. P. (2020). Windows of Opportunity for Skillful Forecasts Subseasonal to Seasonal and Beyond. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, (2020).
2019
Bif, M. B., Siqueira, L., & D. A. Hansell, (2019). Warm events induce loss of resilience in organic carbon production in the northeast Pacific Ocean. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33, 1174-1186.
Arcodia, M., Kirtman, B.P. & Siqueira, L., (2019). Interference Between MJO and ENSO Teleconnection Signals Impacts US Rainfall. AGUFM, 2019, pp.A34E-07.
Zhang, W., & Kirtman, B. (2019). Estimates of Decadal Climate Predictability from an Interactive Ensemble Model. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(6), 3387-3397.
Zhang, W., & Kirtman, B. (2019). Understanding the Signal‐to‐noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model. Geophysical Research Letters.
Pegion, K., Becker, E., & Kirtman, B.P. (2019). The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multimodel Subseasonal Prediction Experiment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(10), 2043-2060.
Malloy, K. M., & Kirtman, B.P. (2019). Predictability of mid-summer Great Plains low-level jet and associated precipitation. Weather and Forecasting.
Infanti, J. M., & Kirtman, B. P. (2019). A comparison of CCSM4 high-resolution and low-resolution predictions for south Florida and southeast United States drought. Climate Dynamics, 52(11), 6877-6892.
Kirtman, B. P. et al. (2019). 100 Years of progress in understanding the dynamics of coupled atmosphere/ocean variability. Meteorological Monographs.
Kirtman, B., et al. (2019). Cloud radiative feedbacks and El Niño Southern Oscillation. Journal of Climate.
Lopez, H., & Kirtman, B.P. (2019). ENSO influence over the Pacific North American sector: uncertainty due to atmospheric internal variability. Climate Dynamics, 52(9-10), 6149-6172.
Lucas Cardoso Laurindo, Leo Siqueira, & Ben P. Kirtman (2019). Diagnosing Energy and Heat Transfer in the North Atlantic Region of Idealized and Realistic Ocean-Atmosphere Models: A Frequency-Domain Approach. AGUFM, 2019: A23S-3033.
Kirtman, B. P., et al. (2019). Fast SST error growth in the southeast Pacific Ocean: comparison between high and low-resolution CCSM4 retrospective forecasts. Climate Dynamics.
Laurindo, L. C., Siqueira, L., & Kirtman, B.P. (2019). Cross-spectral analysis of the SST/10-m wind speed coupling resolved by satellite products and climate model simulations. Climate Dynamics, 52(9-10), 5071-5098.
Larson, S. M., & Kirtman, B. P. (2019). Linking preconditioning to extreme ENSO events and reduced ensemble spread. Climate Dynamics, 52(12), 7417-7433.
Lopez, H., & Kirtman, B. (2019). East Asian Monsoon as a modulator of US Great Plains Heat Waves. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
Zavadoff, B. L., & Kirtman, B.P. (2019). North Atlantic Summertime Anticyclonic Rossby Wave Breaking: Climatology, Impacts, and Connections to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 32(2), 485-500.
Bell, R., & Kirtman, B. (2019). Extreme environmental forcing on the container ship SS El Faro. Journal of Operational Oceanography, 1-16.
Bell, R., & Kirtman, B. (2019). Seasonal Forecasting of Wind and Waves in the North Atlantic Using a Grand Multimodel Ensemble. Weather and Forecasting, 34(1), 31-59.